A whopping 23 teams are averaging at least one home run per game with the 2024 MLB trade deadline just hours away. It’s a statistic that has provided sports bettors with opportunities to cash an MLB home run prop bet day after day. Here’s a look at three sluggers worth backing to send a ball over the fence on Monday, July 29.
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
- MLB Consensus Odds
- Top Bettor Picks for MLB
- MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet
Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Cal Raleigh (+310)
Cal Raleigh has gone deep in back-to-back contests to strengthen his season lead at the catcher position with 22 home runs. What’s been most impressive about the Seattle standout’s year is his versatility, though. Raleigh is the only player in the league with at least 10 dingers from each side of the plate. It’s a trait that reinforces his chances of providing Mariners fans with something to cheer about every time he’s up to bat.
Monday presents a matchup that benefits Raleigh in more ways than one. Nick Pivetta will take the mound for Boston behind a disappointing 5.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP logged in seven starts at Fenway Park. The right-hander has also been tagged for at least two jacks in five different contests. Last but not least, Raleigh is 3-for-7 with two homers of his own against Pivetta. Lock this one in before the odds shift closer to first pitch.
Bobby Witt Jr. (+255)
It’s been a campaign to forget for Chris Flexen. The White Sox starter enters a series against the Royals with a 2-10 record to go along with a 5.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. It’s not hard to understand why considering Flexen checks in outside the top 300 qualified pitchers in barrels allowed (28) and balls hit 95-plus miles per hour (127). Batters are simply squaring up anything he draws from his pitch arsenal.
To drive the point home, Flexen has given up at least one home run in 10 of his last 13 pitching appearances. That bodes well for Kansas City’s offense at Guaranteed Rate Field. Shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. is 5-for-8 with a homer in his career against Flexen and his .978 OPS against right-handed pitching ranks fifth among MLB pros in 2024. Don’t hesitate to trust the American League MVP candidate in a divisional clash.
Tyler Stephenson (+390)
Cincinnati catcher Tyler Stephenson is an intriguing option for bettors in search of a name that flies under the radar. The 27-year-old is slugging .493 in July as he’s gone yard five times and tallied four doubles. Consistently hitting in the middle of a thrilling Reds lineup certainly helps Stephenson see more pitches in the zone. It’s led to a career-best average exit velocity of 90.6 mph being posted through 87 games played.
Jameson Taillon earns the starting nod for the Cubs on Monday. It’s worth mentioning the veteran hurler has surrendered more home runs to the Reds (14) than any other team in his career. Stephenson is 4-for-4 against Taillon with a homer, too. He smashed a four-seam fastball 391 feet into the seats in right-center field at Great American Ballpark in a September 2023 showdown. Bank on another moon shot at favorable odds here.
