Super Bowl Rematches: Does The Regular Season Winner Usually Win Again?
February 4, 2021 – by Jason Lisk
Super Bowl LV will feature the first Super Bowl rematch of a regular season game in nine seasons.
This year’s Super Bowl features two teams that already played each other during the 2020 regular season.
In Week 12, Kansas City went on the road and beat Tampa Bay 27-24, with the most common closing point spread for the game favoring the Chiefs by 3.5 points.
More importantly for the interests of a fan or Super Bowl bettor, though, is the question of what’s happened in Super Bowl rematch games. Does the team that wins in the regular season usually win again, or not? Are there any other performance trends worth noting?
In this post, we’ll examine the data.
Frequency of Super Bowl Rematches
Super Bowl rematches from the regular season aren’t common, but they do occur. Given the current four-division format of the NFL, in which teams from one conference play all the teams from one division in the other conference, one would expect a Super Bowl rematch to happen about once every four years.
That’s roughly what has happened so far, with this year marking the 13th Super Bowl rematch in a 43-year period (since 1978, when the NFL went to the 16-game schedule).
However, it’s been nine years since the last time it happened, and the fact that this year’s Super Bowl is in Tampa Bay, the same exact site as the regular season matchup, is a unique twist.
Are you in a state where sports betting is legal? Check out the best available Super Bowl offers from our sportsbook partners.
Historical Results of Super Bowl Rematches
Here is every Super Bowl involving two teams that played in the regular season, with only one of the matchups happening before the expansion to the 16-game schedule in 1978.
Get access to all betting content, picks and models
Free subscription offers now available!
Subscribe now
Already a premium subscriber? Sign in for access
NFL Football Pool Picks NFL Survivor Pool Picks NCAA Bracket Picks College Bowl Pool Picks College Football Pool Picks NFL Picks NBA Picks MLB Picks College Football Picks College Basketball Picks NFL Predictions NBA Predictions MLB Predictions College Football Predictions College Basketball Predictions NFL Spread Picks NBA Spread Picks MLB Spread Picks College Football Spread Picks College Basketball Spread Picks NFL Rankings NBA Rankings MLB Rankings College Football Rankings College Basketball Rankings NFL Stats NBA Stats MLB Stats College Football Stats College Basketball Stats NFL Odds NBA Odds MLB Odds College Football Odds College Basketball Odds A product ofTeamRankings BlogAboutTeamJobsContact
© 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Statistical data provided by Gracenote.
TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA®) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein.
Terms of ServicePrivacy Policy
