Updated Democratic Nomination Odds – Biden’s Odds Plummet After Positive COVID Test

May 23, 2024; Washington, DC, USA; President Joe Biden shakes hands with Vice President Kamala Harris as he and First Lady Jill Biden host President William Ruto and First Lady Rachel Ruto of the Republic of Kenya for a State Visit to the United States on May 23, 2024 at the White House in Washington, D.C.. Mandatory Credit: Jasper Colt-USA TODAYJoe Biden has tested positive for COVID and his odds to win the Democratic nomination are plummetingVice-President Kamala Harris has, as a result, improved dramatically in the Democratic nomination odds for 2024See the updated Democratic nomination odds as of July 18, along with the latest odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election on Nov. 5

Incumbent President Joe Biden, already a divisive choice to run for re-election in 2024 at 81 years of age and in declining mental acuity, has seen his odds to win the 2024 Democratic Nomination sink dramatically after a positive COVID test on Thursday.

Biden had become the odds-on favorite (again) in the last week as he insisted he was staying in the race barring health issues. But health issues arose on Thursday when he revealed he tested positive for COVID.

2024 Democratic Nomination Odds

Biden’s odds to win the Democratic nomination were close to -300 earlier in the week and now sit at +250. Harris, meanwhile, has shortened to -200 to lead the Democratic ticket on Nov. 5. Harris already made history as the first female and black Vice-President when she and Biden defeated incumbent Donald Trump and Mike Pence in 2020.

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Odds as of July 18 at bet365. 

Biden Also Massive Longshot in 2024 Presidential Election Odds

As Biden’s odds to be the Democratic nominee sunk, so too did his odds to win the next general election on Nov. 5. He had been trailing Trump by a wide margin before Thursday’s COVID news. Trump was -275 and Biden was at +450.

As of Thursday morning, Biden’s odds to win re-election had faded all the way to +1100.

Biden is vaccinated and reportedly feeling “good”.

Trump’s Odds Fade Slightly as Harris Improves

Thursday’s news was not a welcome sight for Republican nominee Donald Trump and running-mate JD Vance. The former president was sitting at -275 in the 2024 Presidential Election odds on Wednesday, but his odds have faded to -225 as of Thursday morning.

Biden was seen as one of the weakest and most-vulnerable incumbents in US history as he stumbled his way through the first debate and several public appearances thereafter. Harris is considered a much stronger challenger.

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